基于经济周期理论的我国当前宏观经济政策选择分析

An Analysis of China's Current Macro-economic Policy Choice from the Perspective of Economic Cycle Theory

分析了我国此次经济下行周期的形成机制和综合各种经济周期理论以及我国经济周期规律及形成机制,预测了我国此次经济下行发展前景和整体国民经济的发展趋势。综合以上分析,提出了经济下行背景下我国制定宏观经济政策建议。

This paper focuses on Chinas macro-economic policy choices under the background of international finance crisis and economic downturn. Based on the economic cycle theory and from the international perspective and Chinas domestic perspective respectively, this paper explores the formation mechanisms of the current econom--ic downturn triggered by the subprime crisis, and predicts the development trend of the economic downturn cycle and Chinas economy. Finally, this paper provides suggestions for Chinas macro - economic policy choices.