摘要
本文应用灰色系统模型和方法对我国总人口进行了动态预测 ,通过检验证明 ,该预测模型合理、方法简便可行、结果比较符合实际 ,可供有关部门参考。
In this essay, the grey system model and its methods are applied to forecasting the population in our country. Examinations indicated that the models are reasonable and simple; the results of forecast conform to reality. The conclusions are useful to policy-making bodies.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
北大核心
2001年第S2期101-103,共3页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
山西省软科学基金项目 (0 0 1 0 1 5 - 1 )
关键词
可持续发展
人口预测
灰色系统
等维灰数递补动态预测
sustainable development
population forecast
grey system
dynamic forecasting with recursive compensation by grey numbers of identical dimensions
