社会发展、城市化和食物消费

Social Development,Urbanization and Food Consumption

本文通过对中国台湾和大陆的住户调查数据进行经济计量分析，论证了社会发展和城市化是影响食物消费的重要因素。文章指出，由城市化导致的生活方式和饮食偏好的变化以及市场发育和职业变动等社会经济结构变动因素对中国食物需求结构的变动起着决定性作用，并将继续影响未来中国食品消费结构的变化。在预测未来食物消费趋势时，如果只考虑收入和价格变动对食物消费的影响而忽视社会经济结构变动因素。

Abstract Based on an econometric analysis of the data obtained from the investigation of households in the province of Taiwan and the mainland of China this paper proves social development and urbanization as the two most important factors influencing food consumption. It points out that the changes in life style and dietary habits occasioned by urbanization and the changing socioeconomic structural factors such as market development and job changes play a decisive role for the changes in food demand structure in China and will continue to do so. In forecasting the future trend of food consumption, we would tend to overestimate the role of income for food demand if we only took income and price fluctuations into consideration in neglect of the changes in socioeconomic structures.