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当代国际战略态势 被引量:2

Contemporary International Strategic Posture
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摘要 这是作者《国际战略问题》一书第一章的一部分。该书前言《中国对外政策的战略依据问题》已载于本刊今年第一期。 In this article, the author first stresses the necessity of long-term observations and deep analysis in studying international posture. Then, he expounds that 'contemporary international strategic posture is objective existence, it forms a direct strategic basis of China's foreign policy.' The principle argument he makes here is: being a long-term trend in the contemporary world, 'the Three Worlds' is a long-standing objective existence. For it is not anyone's wishful thinking, nor has it come into being accidentally, but has resulted inevitably from the uneven social and economic developments of various countries, and from the evolution of a host of substantial contradictions. Then, having noted Chairman Mao's strategic thought on dividing the world into three, the author raises some points and questions: Firstly, whenever we say the Soviet Union and the United States make up the First World, concrete analysis rather than merely general terms should be applied; the existence of the First World is not a matter of short duration and it seems that, for a long time to come, there will be little chance that any of other countries can rank among the superpowers. Secondly, how should one view the Second World, NATO, the Warsaw Pact, or the so-called 'big socialist family'. Thirdly, in interpreting the current international posture, there have been a number of conceptions, such as the 'bipolar', the 'tripolar', the 'grand triangle', the 'pentapolar' and 'multipolar' systems, and 'the Three Worlds', the question is, however, which is the key one. The author presents his personal opinion about PRC-USUSSR 'grand triangle'. Fourthly, a brief account of the Third World, and the contradictions and linkages within each of and among the Three Worlds. The interplays of these contradictions and linkages determine the development of the world international posture.This article is the first part of Chapter One of Prof. Chen Zhongjing's booklet 'International Strategic Problems'. Its preface appeared in our first issue of 1986.
作者 陈忠经
机构地区 北京大学
出处 《现代国际关系》 1986年第2期1-8,61,共9页
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