决策结论的敏感度分析

Susceptibility Analysis Of Decision-Making Result

本文通过决策参数的分析,对决策结论进行了敏感度分析。找出影响决策结论的参数,以及参数在什么区间内变化会(不会)影响决策方案的排序结论。并通过实例分析与验证了本方法的合理性与可行性。本文所得结论对任何以方案排序为结论的决策方法均适用。

In this paper we first analyse of decision-making parameter,and then analyse the susceptibility of decision -making result.Based on these two analysis,we give the parameters that can affect the result of dicision-making, and the ranges in which the parameters' changing can(or can not)affect the result order of decision-making method.We present the rationality and the feasibility of this decision-making method through analyzing and testing some practical models.Last we draw a conclusion that the dicision-making method can accord with all results which are given through project ordering approach.