外商直接投资对中国流通业影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Effection of Foreign Direct Investment in Circulation in China

实证分析了我国流通产业利用FDI的情况。结果表明从1998年到2009年间,流通业利用外商直接投资额度不断增加,增长速度波动较大;对服务业FDI和FDI总额的贡献度和贡献率均较低,弹性不高。通过模型比较发现,流通业FDI对流通业增加值,流通业FDI对流通业就业人数并不是呈简单的线性关系,而是呈U型的曲线关系。

In recent years,foreign direct investment has become a global trend toward service industries.As the national leader industry,FDI in circulation industry has experienced an great development.This paper gives an empirical analysis of FDI in Chinese Circulation.The results show that there is an increasing amount of FDI in circulation from 1998 to 2009,the growth rate is more volatile.There is a weak contribution degree and contribution rate,and elasticity degree of FDI in circulation to FDI in service or total FDI is also weak too.Compared with three models,we draw a conclution that FDI in circulation and value added of circulation,FDI in circulation and employment in circulation are not a very good linear relationship,but the U - shaped curve.