关于决策咨询的探讨

Study on Decision and Consulting

本文以决策科学理论为基础，认为决策是有限理性的，这种有限理性表现在有限知识、有限时间、有限注意力和不确定性条件等方面。为了使决策更为合理，决策者需要咨询。咨询的过程是决策者与咨询者行为互动的过程，而满意的咨询是指决策者与咨询者都满意的咨询。要达到满意的咨询，决策者需要充分考虑到自己的和咨询者的利益。本文利用鼓励性对策的数学模型，对决策者与咨询者的互动关系作了简化的描述。一方面，通过数学模型可以彻底了解咨询过程，另一方面，决策者可以通过适当的诱导策略，引导咨询者，达到满意的咨询。

篛n the decision science，the rational decision is bounded with knowledge，time，concentration and uncertainty condition。 The rational decision needs consulting for the de-cision-maker．It is an inter-active process between decision-maker and copsulting-offer inthe whole process of consuIting．The satisfy consulting is defined as satisfing each other ofdecision-maker and consulting-offer．It is necessary for the decision-maker to considerthe interests of consulting-offer as well as himself.A mathematical model，which used in-centive control theory，is employed to describe the inter-active process betweendecision-ma ker a nd co nsulting-offer. It becomes more clearly in the consulting processthrough the model．To reach the satisfy consult，the decision- maker can find the proper in-centive strategy to induce the consulting-offer by the model。