南非形势的发展和1993年南部非洲形势展望

DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SITUATION OF SOUTH AFRICA AND PROSPECTS FOR THE SITUATION OF SOUTHERN AFRICA IN 1993

1992年,南部非洲和全世界一样在动荡中求和平,在变化中求发展。在走向多极化新格局过程中寻找自己的位置。 政治改革、经济调整和制定新的发展战略为主要内容的“改革”之风已吹遍全球,

With the deepening development in the reform of political democracy in South Africa, struggles for power-sharing between the blacks and the whites are inten- sifying increasingly. Occurence of the three major incidents of white referendum, mass movements, and conflicts of violence is the outcome of declar ing their positions and having trials of strength among one another by the four important forces of the De Klerk's, the Mandela's, the Buthelezi's and the white extreme rightists'. The result of the contest suggests that in the course of political peace talk in South Africa the parties playing the decisive role are the South African Government headed by De Klerk and the ANC headed by Mandela. South Africa's political democracy reform will face a crucial year in 1993. The key to the possibility of an effective continuance of the talk lies in the situation whether or not the ANG and the Nationalist Party could establish firmly their authority as representatives of the two major political forces in the talk. The core of the struggle is in the matter that in the new South Africa of future how much right to say could be accrued to the blacks, and, after decentralizing powers to the blacks, to what extent could the interest of the whites be assured in the last. The Inkatha Freedom Party is a political force of third importance, To deal properly with their issues will present itself as a knotty problem in the distribution of powers.