摘要
本文利用系统动力学理论,建立了四川省土地承载能力的动态仿真模型,模型中包括土地利用、人口、种植业、畜牧业、渔业等子系统,文中阐述了土地承载力模型的建立过程和方法,模拟了四川未来45年土地承载力系统的动态变化轨迹,提出了两种方案,并对其仿真结果进行了分析。
A dynamic simulation model of Population Carrying Capacity of Land Resources ??(PCCLR) in Sichuan province was set up by means of system dynamic theory. The system of PCCLR consists of several subsystems, i. e. land use, population , farming, animal husbandry and, fishery. A brief explanation of the process and method of establishing simulation model of PCCLR was outlined. The development trends of system of PCCLR in Sichuan in the future 45 years were simulated. Meanwhile , two different schemes were selected.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
1992年第4期25-30,共6页
China Population,Resources and Environment
关键词
土地承载力
系统动力学
仿真模型
land
carrying capacity
system dynamics
simulation model
