摘要
中东是当今世界各种基本矛盾的交汇点之一,长期动荡不安。自第二次世界大战结束以来,中东地区先后爆发了6场较大规模的局部战争,至于中东各国的内战、国与国间的边界冲突、种族和教派纷争就更为频繁。国外有人评述:“中东每时每刻都有枪炮声,当然不是这里便是那里。”
Having not eliminated the basic contradictions, the Gulf-war has led to
the new ones in the Middle East. Full of difficulties, the regional security
arrangement is in zigzag. Disarmament negotiations have made little progress
while armed races are accelerating. The only, realistic way-out for the
Middle East peace depends on strengthening the solidarity and co-operation
of the Arab-world, which are, now, facing severe challenges. Foreign military
existence and intervention are unlikely to withdraw in the short term. National
interests impose strong constraints on Pan-Arabic movement. Prevailing
inequality of wealth among the nations has weakened Pan-Arabic sentiment.
Wide-spread domestic unrests have crippled the ability of individual nation
to participate in the regional affairs, and what is more, the ability of the
Arab countries as a whole.
There are both favourable and unfavourable factors in the process of
Middle East peace and security. Temporary peace and stability are possible
when favourable factors are stronger than the unfavourable ones. But the
real peace and long-lasting secerity will necessarily depend on a complete
elimination of the basic contradictions of the Middle East.
出处
《西亚非洲》
CSSCI
北大核心
1991年第6期1-8,78,共9页
West Asia and Africa
