今年的美国总统选举

THE 1988 U. S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

布什和杜卡基斯在预选中获胜表明温和保守派和温和自由派代表着共和和民主两党当前的主流;布什的主张同里根政府现行政策大同小异,杜卡基斯重视政府的作用和国内计划,对裁军持更积极态度,对美苏关系抱更多期望,对第三世界强调给予帮助。当前美国的政治气候和民情对杜卡基斯有利,可能出现类似1960年大选的结果。

The victories by Mr. GeorgeBush and Mr. Michael Dukakis in the primaries show that the moderate conser-vatives and the moderate liberals now represent the main stream of the RepublicanParty and the Democratic Party respectively. There is little difference betweenBush's propositions and the Reagan Administration's current policies, while Dukakisattaches greater importance to the government's role and domestic programs, adoptsa more positive attitude towards disarmament, places greater hopes on the U. S. - Soviet relations and emphasizes providing aids to the Third World. The current political climate and people's mood in the United States are favourable to Dukakis, so it is possible that the 1988 election will come to an end similar to that of the 1960 campaign.