摘要
一多年以来,中东地区是世界瞩目的“热点”和“火药桶”。但是,今年以来,中东形势出现了一系列新的变化,其特点是:热点降温,美苏之间和当地冲突国家之间的政治对话增多。
Since the beginning of this year there has emerged a scries of new striking developments in the Middle East: the Iran-Iraq war has come to a formal ceasefire; the momentum towards a political settlement of Arab-Israeli conflict has strengthened; the political dialogues between the US and the Soviet Union as well as among the conflicting countries in this region have multiplied. These changes are by no means accidental in nature. Inside the region itself, the main reason is that the countries involved in the conflicts all want to reduce their military hur(?)en and develop ther national (?)omy. Externally, the new r(?)laxation of the tension between the US and the Soviet Union and the two major trends of 'peace and development in the world' have imposed wide-spread impact on the political situation in the Middle East.To look forward the future, in spite of the fact that it will be difficult to achieve a complete settlement of all national, religious and sectarian contradictions in the region, territorial disputes and contest for regional hegemony may still arise, and the rivalry between the US and the Soviet Union will not halt cither; in the years ahead the conflicting parties will seck for the relaxation of their contradictions through political dialogues rather than by means of war. The Middle East, which has long been referred to as the 'hot spot' and 'powder keg' of the world, is quite likely to move further towards relaxation and become a new centre of world economic activities.
