基于EViews软件的云南省城镇居民消费和支出分析预测

An Analytical Prediction of Yunnan Residents' Consumption and Spending with EViews Software

收集云南省城镇居民的人均消费支出和人均可支配收入数据,运用EViews软件对其进行分析和建立模型,通过对估计标准误差进行评价、拟合优度检验和参数显著性检验等对模型进行检验,发现该模型的拟合程度较高,并且人均可支配收入对人均消费支出具有显著的影响,进而利用EViews软件对云南省城镇居民在"十二五"期间的人均消费支出水平进行预测.

The per capita consumption expenditure and disposable income of urban residents in Yunnan Province from 1996to 2010were analyzed and a model was established with EViews software.Evaluation of estimated standard error,test of goodness of fit and parameter significance test reveal that the model fits well the observation and the per capita disposable income has a significant influence on the per capita consumption expenditure.And the level of per capita consumption expenditure of urban residents in Yunnan Province between the'12th Five-Year Plan'was given a prediction with Eviews software in the paper.