1988年—2000年上海奥运会重点项目(个人和小组单项)配置及其若干问题的研究

Study of the Disposition of Shanghai Major Sports (individual and Group Single—event) of Olympic Games during 1988—2000 and Some Problems Concerned

本文运用系统论、预测学、运动训练学等有关理论和方法,对上海有可能在1988年～2000年间奥运会个人和小组单项竞赛中获奖或得分的项目,进行了多角度、多因素和多层次的系统分析:(一)重点项目配置的经验模型与论证;(二)战略目标的时间预测;(三)重点相关因素的分析。

The theories and methods of systematology, science of prognosis and sports training and so on are applied in this study to systematically making a polyangle, polystratuous and polyfactor analysis of the events which will be probably won by shanghai in the individual or group single-event contests of Olympic Games during 1988—2000. The article deals with: 1) experience model and argument of the main events disposition; 2) time prognosis of the strategic target; 3) analysis of the major correlation factors.