南宁市十大急症与气象要素变化关系探讨

The Relationship between Ten Main Emergenceis in Nanning and Meteorological Factors

对广西南宁市3年（1985～1987年）的上感、下感、发热、心血管疾病、脑血管意外、急性腹痛、急腹症、急性胃肠炎、腹泻与泌尿系统感染结石等十大急症的43184个病例与同时期的气象要素进行了多元回归的相关分析，结果表明：十大急症的大部分都与相应的气象要素明显相关。除心、脑血管及急性腹痛外，其余各种急症，均可建立以气象要素为参数的预报方程。本结果对南宁市的疾病预报及处理提供可靠的资料。根据天气预报，可提前做出各类疾病的发生趋势，采取预防措施，对预防医学方面也有积极意义。

The relationship between ten main emergencies (infection of upper respiratory tract, infection of inferior respiratory tract, cardiovascular disease, cerebral vascular accident, acute abdominal pain, acute abdomen, acute gasroenteritis, diarrhea, infection and stone of urinary system) in Nanning from 1985 to 1987 reaching a total of 43184 cases and meteorological factors are analyzed with multiple regression. The results show that most of the ten main emergencies are closely related with relevant meteorological factors. Except cardiovascular disease, cerebral vascular accident and acute abdominal pain, other main emergencies can be used to establish forecast equation by using meteorological factors as parameters. The result can supply reliable data for disease forecast and handling. According to the weather forecast, all those kinds of disease can be forecasted and prevented. The results are also of positive significance to preventive medicine.