用GM(n,h)模型预测森林资源发展趋势

Prediction on Development Trend of Torest Resources Applying GM（n,h）Model

应用灰色系统理论，对森林资源的主要指标进行了预测，建立了灰色动态预测模型GM（1，1）．其预测结果误差小，精度高，为林业宏观决策，森林经营管理提供了科学依据和方法．

Using gray-system theory，the main indices of forest resources weve predicted．These indices provide a secientific basis for forestrv macrodecision-making，forestry development plan and forest management.