日地水文学与灾害预测

SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL HYDROLOGY AND DISASTER PREDICTION

研究地球水文变化的日地物理成因和规律的日地水文学（Solar-TerrestrialHydrology），用于水、旱灾害预测多次获得证实.本文从日地水文物理基础、长江淮河22年周期性大洪水、黄河大洪水和太阳活动关系、太阳活动双重衰减期北方大旱、17世纪日地水文异常变化、太阳活动对暴雨洪水中短期影响、台湾海峡两侧大暴雨洪水落区转移、全球最大洪水日地水文研究以及学科发展和应用前景九个方面，对中国近70多年来的主要成果加以回顾和总结.基础科学、高科技和应用紧密结合，促成对国民经济发展直接相关的新学科，是当代科学进步的一个显著标志，这里又是一个例证．

Solar-terrestrial Hydrology study the cause and regular pattern of global hydrological change by hydrology and solar - terrestrial physics. Using this knowledge to predict flood and drought for large river basin had obtained many good verifications in China about 70 years. There are nine recommendations: (1) physical foundation of solar - terrestrial hydrology, (2) 22 - year cycle of great floods in Yangtze river and Huai river, (3) Solar activity and floods of Yellow river, (4) Double declining period of solar activity and serious serious drougths in North China, (5) Abnormal solar-terrestrial hydrological change in 17 century, (6) Short and middle time effects on storm and flood by solar radio burst and proton event with flares, (7) Regional change of floods between each side of Taiwan Straits 1955-1996, (8) Solar activity and maximum floods in the world, (9) Further outlook of solar - terrestrial hydrology and its applications. Combination of basic science with high scientific technology and practice can be born many interdisciplinary programs, the solar - terrestrial hydrology is an example.