金华地区未来30年气候变化的预测

The Prediction of Climatic Change trend in Jinhua

本文用灰色系统拓扑预测方法，对金华地区的气候长期变化趋势的预测能力进行了研究。结果表明：该预测模型具有较高预测精度和预测准确率。用该预测模型对金华地区未来３０年气候变化趋势进行预测，结果与已有的研究结论一致。

The study on capacity of predicting climatic change trend has been carried out by using topological predicting model of grey system theory. The result shows that the model is fairly stable and precision. During the future thirty years, the climatic change in the Jinhua district predicted by topologic forecasting model agrees with other research conclusion.