驾驶员个体可靠性数学模型分析

Building-up and Analysis of the Mathematical Models for the Driver's Individual Reliability

本文应用行为外学和可靠性工程的理论和方法，探讨了汽车驾驶员安全可靠性问题。在统计分析驾驶员人为差错分布规律的基础上，建立了驾驶员个体可靠性定量分析的数学模型。为提高驾驶员个体可靠性，防止人为差错导致交通事故，提供理论依据。

The problem of the driver's reliability of safety was probed into by the application of the theory and methods of behaviour science and reliability engineering. On the basis of counting and analysing the distribution regularity of the mistakes made by man,the methematical models of quantitative analysis of the driver's individual reliabi lity was built up and a theoretical basis on which the driving relia bility of safety and the reduction of traffic accidents was provided as well.