摘要
In response to a suggestion that the large meander of the Kuroshio is a good predictor of droughtsin the Changjiang River Valley, it is argued that more recent inceptions of the meander lend statisticalweigh to the belief that the large meander is itself a consequence of E1 Nino, and hence of the SouthernOscillation. The meander usually lags. Thus, if the meander reliably predicts droughts, the Tahiti componentof the Southern Oscillation will usually give six months’ extra warning.
In response to a suggestion that the large meander of the Kuroshio is a good predictor of droughts in the Changjiang River Valley, it is argued that more recent inceptions of the meander lend statistical weight to the belief that the large meander is itself a consequence of El Nino, and hence of the Southern Oscillation. The meander usually lags. Thus, if the meander reliably predicts droughts, the Tahiti component of the Southern Oscillation will usually give six months' extra warning.
