浙江省入境旅游与区域经济重心演变路径及对比分析——以1996～2011年面板数据为例

The Variation Tracks and Their Comparative Analyses on Inbound Tourism Gravity Center and Regional Economy Gravity Center in Zhejiang Province——Illustration Based on the Panel Data from 1996 to 2011

区域发展差距一直是区域协调发展所面临的重要问题,旅游经济和区域经济的空间分布态势作为区域发展空间均衡过程的体现,与区域差距的形成又密切关联。采用重心模型,对1996～2011年浙江省入境旅游和区域经济数值,计算出各年份的旅游外汇收入、旅游客流量和GDP重心坐标,揭示浙江省入境旅游重心和区域经济重心变化轨迹及演变规律,以期为浙江省入境旅游发展决策提供理论参考。研究表明,入境旅游重心整体向南向移动,且东西向呈现波动变化;而区域经济整体向东北方向移动;入境旅游重心位于区域经济重心的西北位置,且两者的偏离距离整体呈现缩小的发展趋势;区域经济和入境旅游重心在纬度上呈现高的负相关性,而在经度上相关性不明显。

Regional gap is a crucial barrier to achieve balanced regional development.The distribution of tourism and regional economy,as an embodiment of the spatial equilibrium process of regional development,has a close relation with the state of the regional gap.With the tourism and regional economy data from 1996 to 2011 year,gravity center coordinates of tourism inbound income,inbound tourists and GDP were calculated by the gravity model,and dynamic evolution tendencies and rules of these gravity center were found.The results show that,the tourism gravity has shifted southwardly and between east and west,while the regional economy gravity has shifted northern eastward;the tourism gravity is located in the northern west of the regional economy gravity,and the gap between tourism gravity and regional economy gravity tends to lessen;and the regional economy correlates with the tourism in latitude,while not in longitude.