摘要
2013年以来国家加大了政策性粮源的投放,小麦市场供给紧张态势得以缓解,价格走势由春节前后的小幅上涨逐渐转为平稳。2013/14年度全球小麦产量可能创新高,供需状况改善,国际小麦价格高位回落。目前,新季小麦丰收在望,小麦市场后备粮源较为充足而需求逐渐进入淡季,后期国内小麦价格整体将维持平稳走势;全球小麦供需前景看好,使得国际小麦价格缺乏大幅上涨的动力。
With increasing supply of more policy-oriented wheat from government since 2013,the tighter wheat market has been released and the price has turned to be stable after slightly increasing around Spring Festival.International wheat price may fall from high point because global wheat production will increase to a record high level in 2013/14,the situation of supply and demand will be improved.China′s wheat price will remain stable in the second half of 2013 due to a bumper harvest of wheat expected in the coming harvest season and low demand with relatively adequate grain reserve.International wheat price is expected to be short of rising power since the optimistic prospect on the balance in supply and demand.
出处
《农业展望》
2013年第6期9-12,21,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
小麦
市场分析
展望
wheat
market analysis
prospect
