人民币升值对中国出口商品竞争力影响研究

A Study on the Influence of Appreciation of RMB on Competitiveness of Export Commodities

2005年中国人民银行宣布我国开始实施以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币进行调节、有管理的浮动汇率制度,自此人民币汇率一直处于不断升值的态势。我国是世界上的贸易大国,然而这一称号却被伴随"中国制造"的烙印。利用2005-2012年的季度数据,研究了人民币升值对四类出口商品竞争力的影响。结果表明人民币汇率对四类出口商品竞争力的影响是不同的。由于农产品及其贸易的特点,人民币汇率对农产品出口竞争力的影响不显著。

Since China began to implement a basket of currencies to adjust and manage the floating exchange rate system based on the market-oriented supply and demand in 2005,the RMB exchange rate has been in the appreciation trend.China is one of the major trading nations in the world,but it is often accompanied by the sign of 'Made in China'.The influence of the real effective exchange rate of RMB on the competitiveness of the four categories of export commodities is studied with the quarterly data from 2005 to 2012 in this paper,which shows that RMB exchange rate has different effects on the four categories of export commodities respectively.Owing to the agricultural products and its trade characteristics,RMB exchange rate has no obvious competitive influence on the export of agricultural products.