摘要
纺织业在我国出口业务中一直占据着重要地位,以在A股上市的纺织类跨国经营企业作为研究对象,建立汇率与这些企业出口收入占总收入比之间的模型进行实证分析,结论是汇率波动对我国上市的纺织类跨国经营企业的经营业绩存在着影响,且这种影响是滞后的,符合J曲线效应。因此,建议纺织类跨国经营企业加强汇率风险预警与管理。
In recent years,the problem of the exchange rate is always a hot issue in our country.Based on the important position that the textile enterprise takes in our country's export business,this article,from the perspective of micro-enterprises,selects the A-share listed textile multinational enterprises as the subject,and takes the model between the exchange rate and the export income of these enterprises for the empirical analysis.The results show that there exists the impact on the performance of the listed textile enterprise transnational operation and the impact is hysteretic.Then some appropriate suggestions and strategies are raised to predict the risk of the exchange rate.
基金
浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题(09CGJJ014YBX)
浙江省大学生科技创新项目(ZX110701022)
关键词
汇率波动
纺织企业
跨国经营业绩
出口收入
exchange rate fluctuation
textile enterprise
transnational operation performance
export income