基于技术轨道理论的医药制造业成长性研究

An Empirical Research on the Growth of Chinese Medical and Pharmaceutical Products Industry Based on the Theory of Technological Trajectory

根据技术轨道理论和已有的研究积累对当前我国医药制造业三大技术轨道所处的阶段做出初步判断,并推理出各轨道下医药公司成长的阶段特征,以我国43家医药上市公司为有效样本,运用成长性评价模型对各轨道下公司的成长性进行实证研究。实证结果与所作的判断和推理基本一致,从而验证了作者对各技术轨道所处阶段的判断。理论和实证相结合得出各轨道下医药上市公司成长的阶段特征,提出促进我国医药制造业发展和技术创新的有益对策和建议。

Based on the theory of technological trajectory and preexisting researches,this paper firstly deduces the stage where the three technological trajectories of medical and pharmaceutical products industry separately stays and the stage characteristics of the growth in medical companies.Then it takes 43 listed medical companies as an effective sample,and uses the growth evaluation model to make an empirical research on the growth of medical listed companies in different technological trajectories.And the empirical results are found to be basically the same as the former deductions.Based on the stage characteristics of the growth in medical companies deduced by the theoretical and empirical studies,this paper finally puts forward some suggestions to promote the development of medical industries and technology innovation in our nation.