人民币国际化路径的战略性建议

Strategic Comments on RMB Internationalization Pathway

随着我国综合实力的提升和党的十八届三中全会全面深化改革的推进,人民币有望在2030年前成为亚洲区域主导货币、世界第三大储存货币。中国需针对特定的多元化市场结构采取不同的推进方式。在人民币不可完全兑换、贸易顺差形势持续的背景下,应稳步扩大人民币的贸易结算功能、争取大宗商品的计价权;在资本项目有限开放的条件下,要深化人民币离岸中心的发展、扩大人民币互换范围、加强区域货币金融合作,以稳步推进人民币国际化的进程。

With the improvement in China's comprehensive strength and the deepening of reform due to the Third Plenary Session of the Party's Eighteenth Congress, RMB is expected to become the dominant currency in Asia and the third largest reserve currency in the world by 2030. China needs to use different ways to internationalize RMB while considering the specific diversified market structure. With the background that RMB is not fully convertible and the trade surplus continues,we should steadily increase the use of RMB in trade settlement and major commodity pricing; given the limited liberalization of the capital accounts, we should deepen the development of offshore RMB center, expand the scope of RMB swap, strengthen regional monetary and financial cooperation, in order to steadily promote internationalization of the RMB.