基于仿真的战时维修保障力量需求预测方法研究

Study on Forecast Method of Wartime Equipment Repair Force Requirement Based on Simulation

战时装备维修力量的科学编配和高效运用必须以精确的需求预测为前提。通过分析战时装备维修力量需求预测的目标和问题,选择以计算机仿真方法主要手段,设计了基于仿真的装备维修力量需求预测原理和流程,实现了战时装备维修力量需求仿真预测系统,介绍了基于仿真预测系统的应用示例.实践证明,基于仿真的预测方法为科学预测战时维修保障力量需求提供了较优的预测方法,且能建立半自动化预测工具。

Wartime repair force scientifically arranges and more effectible employment must be based on accurately requirement forecast.By analyzing the aim and question of wartime repair force requirement forecast and choosing computer simulating method,forecast theory and flow was put forward,then wartime repair force requirement forecast system was designed,and finally,the application example of this system was proposed.It is showed in practice,forecast based on simulation has provided a better method and auto tool for wartime repair force requirement forecast.