用电负荷预测方法在南通地区负荷预测中的应用比较

On Forecasting Power Load of Nantong

简述中长期负荷预测基本理论和方法,结合南通电网进行了实例预测,在此基 础上分析比较了各预测方法的优缺点,提出现阶段及将来适合南通地区的预测方法。

This article presents some basic theories and methods of the long time power load estimating, and gives an example for the forecast of Nantong power network, and based on analyzing the disadvantage and advantage of different methods, the feasible method for Nantong is finally recommended.