摘要
基于安徽省6县582个农户的问卷调查数据,构建二元Logistic模型讨论子女性别偏好和状态依赖假定下中部地区农村劳动力跨省流动选择的影响因素。研究发现,户主的年龄、非务工收入对劳动力跨省流动有显著的负向影响;户主是否参加农村居民养老保险、户主是否参加新农合医疗保险、户主学历为初中、与县城的距离等变量对家庭户主的跨省流动产生显著的正向影响;农户家庭是否有男孩、头孩是否为女孩等子女性别特征变量对家庭户主的跨省流动产生十分显著的正向影响。实证分析结果表明,子女性别结构是农户家庭劳动决策的最为重要的影响因素,男孩偏好下更高的抚养成本成为户主跨省流动就业的重要激励,但这一家庭特征因素背后仍然脱离不开经济动因。
Based on the data of questionnaires on 582 farmers in 6 counties of Anhui Province , this paper builds a Binary Logistic Model to discuss the influencing factors in trans -provincial flow behavior of the rural labor in the central region on condition of children ’ s gender preference and state dependence .The research shows that the age of the householder and non-work income have significant negative effects on trans -provincial labor flow . However, whether the householder joins in the rural endowment insurance or the new rural cooperative medical in-surance , the householder has junior high school education background and the distance from the county have signif-icant positive effects.The variables related with children ’s gender, like whether the family has a boy and whether the first child is a girl have remarkable positive impact .Empirical analysis shows that children's gender structure is the most important factor affecting the labor decisions of rural families , and higher child-rearing cost under son preference has become an important incentive to trans -provincial employment of the householder .But, this family characteristic factor still can ’t be separated from economic motives .
出处
《华中科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第5期132-140,共9页
Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)
关键词
农村劳动力
跨省流动
男孩偏好
子女性别结构
状态依赖
the rural labor force
trans-provincial flow
son preference
children's gender structure
state dependence