江西省能源消费结构与经济增长互动关系实证研究

An Empirical Study of Jiangxi Energy Consumption Structure and the Interaction with Economic Growth

利用1995年～2010年数据,对江西省能源消费结构与地区生产总值增长互动关系进行了实证研究.协整检验结果表明,江西省地区生产总值增长与主要消费能源种类之间存在长期稳定的协整关系;格兰杰因果检验结果表明,江西省地区生产总值增长是煤炭消费的格兰杰原因,水电消费量是江西省地区生产总值增长的格兰杰原因;能源消费与江西省地区生产总值增长之间存在交互正向冲击.政府应当努力改善江西省能源消费结构,为社会经济发展提供坚实的能源保障.

This paper provided the empirical research on interaction between Jiangxi energy consumption structure and growth of gross domestic product with the data from 1995-2010. Cointegration test shows the presence of long-term stable cointegration relationship between economic growth and coal, oil and hydro consumption; Granger causality test shows that economic growth is the Granger cause of coal consumption, and electricity and water consumption is the Granger cause of economic growth; Energy consumption also has a positively interactive impact on economic growth. Therefore, the Jiangxi government should make efforts to provide a solid energy security for economic and social development by improving the energy consumption structure.