基于行动者“满足性失灵”的社会稳定风险动力机制构建

Satisfaction failure: the dynamical mechanism analysis of the social stability risk

社会稳定风险是指社会秩序遭受破坏、导致政治经济和社会生活无法正常进行的事件发生的可能性。社会稳定风险事件具有"人化属性"和"工具性"特点,从行动者视角可以调和现实主义和建构主义各执一面的风险本体观。基于行动者动机的内在需要可以抽象出行为产生的一般模型,从中提炼出基于需求层次动力学的"满足性失灵"解释框架,该框架支持相关的理论整合,同时对经验问题的动力因具有较强的解释力。

Social stability is the precondition of sustainable development for a country. Social stability risk refers to the possibility of the incident which damages the social order and results in the stop of the normal political, economic and social activities. The risk events of social stability have the man-made and tool characteristics. Moreover, the risk ontology attempts to be remedied by the realism and constructivism from the actors’ perspectives. Based on the inherent requirements of the actors, the general model of behavior is abstracted; on the basis of which, the explanatory framework of “Satisfaction Failure” is extracted in view of the need hierarchy dynamics. In addition, the ability to integrate theories and explain experience problems of the proposed frame is investigated sufficiently.