港区集疏运交通量预测方法研究及应用

Research and Application of Prediction Method of Collecting-Distributing Traffic Volume in Harbor District

沿江或跨江公路的重要交通源之一是沿线港区集疏运交通量,预测公路承担沿线港区交通量规模成为当前公路项目前期研究的重点内容之一。本文以港区功能定位、港区货物未来集疏运量以及集疏运流向为基础,提出一种预测港区集疏运交通量的方法,并应用于省道阳枫线黄州段改建工程可行研究中。结果表明,本文提出的方法具有较强的可操作性和应用价值。

Collecting -distributing(C&D) traffic volume in harbor district along a river is one of the most important traffic sources of highway along or across a river ,which makes the prediction of highway traffic scale become one of highlights in preliminary study of current highway projects .Based on function of harbor district , future C&D volume of harbor cargos and orientation of C&D volume ,a method of predicting C&D volume in harbor district is presented ,w hich is applied on feasibility research of reconstruction engineering in Huangzhou section of Tuanfeng -Yangxin provincial highway .Results show that the method presented is highly operation-al and possesses relatively high value of application .