中国反倾销引致的外商直接投资损害了中国国内产业吗?——基于制造业数据的校正模型实证研究

Does the Foreign Direct Investment( FDI) Induced by China's Antidumping Hamper the Development of Domestic Industry?——An Empirical Research Based on Calibrated Model with the Manufacturing Industry Data

笔者以2001年~2011年中国对来自美国、欧盟、日本、韩国等国或地区制造业产品实施的反倾销案为研究对象,采用寡头垄断竞争的校正模型,分析中国对制造业产品实施反倾销措施所引致的外商直接投资对中国国内产业的影响。研究表明中国对外反倾销引致的外商直接投资可能削弱甚至逆转中国反倾销对国内制造业的保护:外国企业的直接投资成本越低,对中国国内制造业企业造成的福利损失就越大;但是在外商直接投资发生后,如果国内制造业企业的成本能够及时降低,那么即使外国企业的投资成本很低、国内制造业企业也可以在竞争中处于有利地位。

This paper tries to reveal the impact of FDI induced by implementation of anti-dumping measures for manufacturing products on the development of Chinese domestic industry,using the calibrated model of oligopoly competition,and with the manufacturing products anti-dumping cases between China and European Union,Japan,the United States and Korea from 2001 to 2011. Research results show that FDI caused by Chinese anti-dumping actions may weaken or even reverse the effects of commercial protection policy. The lower cost of FDI will cause more welfare losses of domestic manufacturing industry. However,if domestic manufacturing enterprises can decrease its comprehensive cost immediately after the entry of FDI,they can still won advantageous market position,even if FDI has low investment cost.