人力资本、技术进步和产业转型的相互影响机理研究——基于尼尔森—菲尔普斯模型

A Study on Mutual Influence Mechanism of Human Capital,Technology Progress and Industrial Transformation Based on Nelson-Phelps Model

笔者利用2001年~2010年中国大陆31个省区的面板数据,结合尼尔森—菲尔普斯模型,实证研究人力资本、技术进步和产业转型的相互影响机理,结果发现中国技术进步的源泉来自产业转型和人力资本,产业转型和人力资本都对技术进步起到促进作用。因此,为了更好推进中国技术进步,产业转型和人力资本积累,还需要大力提升区域人力资本水平,鼓励企业技术创新和技术进步,改造提升主导产业,培育产业集群。

This study aims to analyze the mutual influence mechanism between human capital,technical progress and industrial transformation. Nelson-Phelps model was approached in this paper with panel data for the period of 2001 to 2010 in 31 provinces of China.The empirical analysis shows that industrial transformation and human capital are the sources of China's technical progress,and both industrial transformation and human capital facilitate China's technical progress. Therefore,in order to promote technological progress of China,industrial transformation and human capital accumulation,policy maker must consider regional human capital promotion,innovative capabilities of enterprises,leading industry upgradation and industrial cluster cultivation.