京津沪资本存量估算与经济增长因素比较研究

A Comparative Study of the Capital Stock Estimation and the Economic Growth Factor in Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai

利用1952年～2002年的年度统计数据,本文估算了京、津、沪三地历年的物质资本存量和人力资本存量,在此基础上通过总量生产函数对各要素的产出弹性进行估计。着重考察了物质资本、人力资本对经济增长的贡献,并对京、津、沪的要素贡献率比重进行了比较。

Using annual statistical data from 1952 to 2002, this paper estimates every year's physical capital stock and human capital stock of Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai. Through the method of Gross Production Function, we estimate output elasticity of every element, and emphatically investigate the contribution of physical capital and human capital to economic growth. At the same time, this paper makes a comparison of the proportion of every element's contribution rate in this three districts.