基于Internet/Intranet的预测支持系统的设计

Design of Forecasting Support System Based on Internet/Intranet

预测在决策中起着十分重要的作用 ,但作出准确的预测是非常困难的。随着 Internet的普及 ,研究利用 Internet技术来开发先进的预测支持系统具有十分重要的实际意义 ,本文对基于 Internet/ Intranet的顶测支持系统进行详细的论述。该系统由多个 Agent子系统及其运行的网络环境组成 ,系统中包括系统管理、信息、集成、集成评估、专家预测、专家预测集成、执行、预测、预测评估、交互 1 0种 Agent子系统构成。各个 Agent有自己的功能 ,可以独立自主地运行 。

Forecasting plays a very important role in making decision,but it is very difficult to make accurate forecasts.With the development of the Internet,it is very important to develop advanced forecasting support system(FSS)by using Internet technology.This paper introduces an forecasting support system based on Internet/Intranet.The system is composed of ten different types of agent subsystem,which are system management agent subsystem,information agent subsystem,integration agent subsystem,integration evaluating agent subsystem,expert forecasting agent subsystem,expert forecasting integration agent subsystem,executing agent subsystem,forecasting agent subsystem,forecasting evaluating agent subsystem,man-machine conversation agent subsystem.Each agent in FSS performs its own function,and can also work jointly with others.