辽西地震活动与太阳黑子活动的相关性分析

The correlation discussion of seismicity in the west of Liaoning Province and the sunspots activity

本文分析讨论了太阳黑子活动与辽西地震活动的关系。发现1966年以来辽西地震活动强度与太阳黑子活动强度之间存在着一定的负相关性,辽西以往发生的3次≥5级地震均位于太阳黑子活动的低谷之后不久。据此,结合可公度预测结果认为:辽西下一次≥5级地震很有可能发生在太阳黑子活动的第22周末的1至2年间的1999年上半年前后。

The paper has discussed the relation between the sunspots activity and the seismic activity in the west of Liaoning. It has been dis covered that there is a negative correlation between the seismic active intensity and the sunspots active intensity since 1966, and the occurence time of the three earthquakes with magnitude≥5 of west liaoning are all not long after the low level point of the sunspots activity. From this and according to the result of commensurability prediction. We suggest that: the next earthquake will probably occecre around the first half year of 1999.