我国未来可获得的进口原油资源潜力分析

Potential Analysis on Future Imported Crude Oil Resources Obtainable to China

通过对未来全球各地区原油需求量和供应量的预测及供需平衡分析,得出未来20年内世界各地区原油的出口能力和进口需求。重点分析了世界三大原油消费地区(国家)即美国、西欧、亚太的原油进口趋势和中国原油进口的主要来源及进口量。

Forecasting future global quantity of crude oil demand and supply in regions and analyzing their balance between supply and demand , the paper draws the conclusion for the world's regional export ability and import demand of crude oil in the 20 years to come ; stressing the analysis of the possible crude oil import sources for the world's three major crude oil consumption areas (countries ), namely, the U.S., West Europe and Asian-Pacific area, working out the principal source areas of crude oil importing and possible importing quantity for China.