福州市主要传染病与气象因素关系的研究

目的 :研究福州地区气温 ,气湿 ,降水量等气象因素对传染病的影响。方法 :根据 93～ 0 2年福州市传染病资料和同期的气温、气湿降水量等气象因素 ,以逐步回归法进行分析。结果 :单因素分析显示 :月平均相对湿度对甲肝和肺结核 ;月总降雨量对麻疹具有显著的影响 (P <0 .0 5 ) ;月平均相对湿度对麻疹、伤寒 :月平均气温对霍乱、伤寒、菌痢 ;月平均气压对霍乱、伤寒、菌痢、肺结核 ;月总降雨量对伤寒、菌痢 ;月总日照时数对霍乱、伤寒具有非常显著的影响 (P <0 .0 1)。多因素分析表明 :月平均相对湿度、气温 ,总日照时数对甲肝 :月平均气温对霍乱 :月平均相对湿度对麻疹和肺结核 ;月平均气压对伤寒 ;月平均气温、总日照时数对细菌性痢疾具有非常显著的影响 (P<0 .0 1)。结论 :在传染病的发生和流行过程中 ,气象因素是个不可忽视的自然因素。

Objective:In order to explore the relationship between the major infection and meteorological factors. Methods: According to the materical of infection and was explored using the stepwise regression. Result: Single factor analysis revealed the significant correlation between the monthly incidence of measles with the whole month rainfall; hepatitis A and pulmonary with the mean monthly relative humidity; Multiple factor regression analysis indicated the sinifical correlation between the mean monthly air temperature with cholera, typhoid fever, dysentery and pulmonary tuberculosis; the mean monthly relative humidity with measles, typhoid fever, dysentery. Conclusion:All the tesults confirm that the change of meteorogical factors plays an important role in prevalence of infections.