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模糊指数平滑法预测电力负荷原理研究 被引量:2

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摘要 本文提出了中期负荷预测的一种模糊指数平滑模型。模型应用了模糊数学的原理,对平滑指数α的每种取值计算出一个隶属函数,然后根据λ的取值,得出λ截集,从而得到α取值的隶属函数μ≥λ的最优取值集合,再以α为平滑指数进行预测的计算。模型为预测工作提供了自动选取平滑指数α的手段。文后以某省情况作为应用实例。
出处 《电力建设》 北大核心 1993年第3期1-5,共5页 Electric Power Construction
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