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云宵县5月暴雨客观预报模型

Objective Forecast Model for Yunxiao Heavy Rain in May
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摘要 采用文献 [1]提出的技术模型 ,研制了云宵县 5月暴雨预报方法 ,建立了 4个因子结构简单而天气学意义明了的客观预报模型。经 2 0 0 0~ 2 0 0 3年试用 ,这种基于场量因子的预报模型 ,未漏报 ,严格评定的准确率为6 7% ,明显优于主观预报。 Based on the technical model posed in document [1], forecast method of Yunxiao heavy rain is developed and the objective forecast model which is made up of four simple factors and has clear synoptic significance is put forward. Experiment from 2000 to 2003 shows that the model has achieved a good effect and is obviously superior to the subjective forecast.
机构地区 云宵县气象局
出处 《河南气象》 2004年第3期9-11,共3页 Meteorology Journal of Henan
关键词 单站暴雨 滑动分区 展开系数 客观预报 模型 Single station heavy rain Running district Developed coefficient
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