地区间经济增长与国有银行信贷的实证分析

Economic Growth among Regions: a Positive Analysis on Loans from State-owned Banks from 1979 to 2000

本文利用30个省、市、自治区的经济增长数据详细考察了国有银行信贷在1979～2000年之间所起到的作用。我们发现,国有银行信贷并不是指向经济增长的,相反,在一定程度上牺牲了经济增长,而获得了一些其他的东西,如政治稳定等。增长在体制外进行。文章对此给出了相应的解释。

Employing the data for economic growth of thirty provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions, the paper examines the role the loans from state-owned banks had played from 1979 to 2000. We discovered that the loans from state-owned banks didn't promote economic growth, on the contrary, they sacrificed economic growth to some extent, but earned something else, such as political stability, growth outside the system. The paper offers corresponding explanations.