试探中国“和平崛起”之路与能源因素的制约

A Probe into China's "Peaceful Rising" Path and Restrictions of Resource Factors

中国"和平崛起"主要针对"中国威胁"论提出,它表明中国的崛起区别于工业先进国历史上的"战争崛起"、"掠夺崛起"。它向世界传递的信息是:第一,中国将以和平方式崛起;第二,中国的崛起将为周边国家和世界带来发展的机遇和地区的繁荣;第三,中国永不称霸。不过,中国也是一个人口众多的国家,经济增长在给世界带来更多劳动产品的同时,也带来了资源的配置和资源短缺日益严重的问题,并加剧大国之间在石油等资源方面的争夺,从而影响到"和平崛起"进程。如何解决这一问题?本文在最后提出了自己的政策建议。

The view of China's 'peaceful rising' is put forward corresponding to the view of 'China's threat', showing that China's rising is different from the 'rising from war'and 'rising from plundering' in the history of advanced industrial countries. It passes to the whole world the following message: first, China will be rising in a peaceful way; second, China's rising will bring development opportunity and regional prosperity to the surrounding countries as well as the whole world; third, China is a populous country, while whose economic development brings more products to the world, it'll also aggravating the problem of resource allocation and resource shortage, intensifying the scrambling for such resources as petroleum among those powerful countries, thus affecting the process of 'peaceful rising.' How to solve this problem? The paper offers its policy suggestion at the end.