湖北电网电力供需形势分析及预测

Analysis and Forecast about the Supply and Demand Situation in Hubei Power Grid

2003年,湖北省电力供应较为紧张,用电增长率达到两位数。虽然电网面临着消纳三峡电力、大幅度提高输送华东电力电量以及形势严峻的迎峰渡夏、燃煤供应不足等困难局面,由于电网企业与各发电企业齐心协力,保证了2003年湖北省电力供应工作。预计2004年湖北省电力供应仍偏紧,夏季高温期拉闸限电已成定局,建议提前做好向外省购电的工作。但湖北电网水电装机比重偏大,预计2004年湖北火电利用小时数仍不高,因此,可利用4、5、9、10月的电力供应富裕期积极开拓外省电力市场。

Despite of the difficulties, such as the impact from Three Gorge Power Plant and the shortage of coal, Hubei electric power system achieved the task of power supply in 2003.The paper analyzed the experience of last year forecasted the supply and demand problem of this year and put forwald the auggestion against the severe situation of Hubei electric power system.