地震短期预测方法物理机理的研究途径

RESEARCH APPROACH OF PHYSICAL MECHANISM IN SHORT-TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION METHOD

通过实验室研究与野外观测实验分析,可以揭示典型短期前兆现象的动力机制和响应条件。基于特殊条件岩石力学实验结果,给出典型地震活动图像产生的条件及其物理机制。进行多种类型、不同尺度动力作用的野外试验,对流体前兆成因过程的机理进行揭示和解释。进行地电阻率、地电场的典型观测研究,建立异常识别的综合分析方法等。这些研究工作是探索地震短期预测方法物理机理的有效途径。

By the study of the laboratory and the analysis of field observation experimentation, we may reveal the dynamic mechanism and the response condition of typical short-term prognostic phenomenon. Based on the experiment result of rock mechanics under special condition, we gave the condition and the physical mechanism of typical seismicity image. By the field experiment of dynamic actions of many types and different scales, we revealed and explained the mechanism of fluid prognostic genetic process. And studied the typical observation of the earth resistivity and the geoelectricity. Then we established the synthesis analysis method of anomaly identification. These researches are an efficient approach to search the physical mechanism of short-term earthquake prediction method.