浙北地区旱涝预报问题探讨——一种汛期降水量长期预报方法

Discussion on drought and flood prediction in the north of Zhejiang——A method of long-term prediction for rainfall during flood period

本文分析了当地前期气象要素——温度的演变特点与汛期降水量之间的关系,建立了两者之间的回归方程,并由此作出降水量的长期预报,从预报误差和试报结果看,效果是好的。

The relations between the evolution characteristics of the local meteorological factor-temperature in the earlier stages and the rainfall during flood period are analyzed in this paper. A regression equation for these relations is developed and long-term prediction for rainfall can be made based on it. From prediction errors and trial prediction, it is indicated that this method is effective.