中亚:俄美从反恐合作到战略竞争

Central Asia: From Anti-Terrorism Cooperation to Mutual Strategic Contention between Russia and the U.S.

俄美在中亚地区因反恐而形成的短暂合作不可能取代长期的战略竞争.虽然近几年来美国对中亚的渗透取得了一定的优势,但今后相当长的时期内,中亚仍将是以俄为主导,美、中、印等多种力量并存、相互制约、互有竞争又有合作的政治格局.

A brief and short-lived cooperation between Russia and the United States on anti-terrorism in Central Asia will not replace their long-term strategic contention. Although the U.S. has made some inroads into Central Asia in recent years, political structure in this region will still be the one in which Russia holds sway while the U.S., China, India and various political forces will coexist together, contend with one another and engage in mutual competition as well as cooperations for a relatively long period of time in the future.