古田县食用菌产量预测模型的优选

Optimization of Forecast Model for the Yield of Edible Fungus in Gutian County

本文首次应用统计学方法分析古田县主要食用菌——银耳和香菇历年产量,在建立的20个预测模型中优选出4个预测模型,对该县银耳和香菇生产进行预测,效果良好。

This paper first analyses the yields of main edible fungus-tremella and mushroom in Gutian County over the years by using statistics. Four forecast models were selected from twenty models, by which to forecast the product of tremella and mushroom in Gutian County, with good results.