我国粮食生产波动周期的经济分析

The Economic Analysis of the Fluctuation Period in Our Nation's Grain Production

主要采用趋势法、环比增长法分析了改革开放以来我国粮食生产的波动周期及其特征,并利用定性与定量结合的分析方法探讨我国粮食生产波动的影响因素,主要分析的影响因素为农业投入、自然灾害、粮食价格以及农业经济政策等。

This paper, with tendency approach and the cyclic increasing approach, analyses the fluctuation period in our nation's grain production and its features from the start of the reform and open policy. It also probes into the affecting factors in our nation's grain production fluctuation on the basis of the methods of qualitative and quantitative analysis. Its affecting factors include: agricultural investment, natural disasters, grain prices and agricultural economic policy etc.