印巴关系的变化与克什米尔问题

Shifting Indo-Pak Relations and Kashmir Knot

在半个多世纪中 ,克什米尔问题始终困扰着印巴关系 ,是印巴军事冲突不断的症结 ,也是南亚地区动荡的重要因素。近期在多方面因素的影响下 ,印巴双方都积极主动提出了一系列和解建议 ,就此印巴关系开始趋于缓和。 2 0 0 3年 11月印巴双方签定了克什米尔停火协议 ,双方改善关系成为了现实。尔后印巴双方又进一步表示愿就包括克什米尔问题在内的南亚和平进程进行谈判。但由于历史和现实的复杂性 ,克什米尔问题能否得到最终妥善解决 ,印巴在这一地区的军事冲突能否就此而结束 ,印巴关系的缓和能否继续下去 ,仍难得出乐观的结论。

Kashmir has haunted over Indo-Pak relations for decades and been seen as the very source of constant conflicts between the two South Asian neighbors. Recently, New Delhi and Islamabad have had an exchange of waving of olive branch and of offering a series of suggestions in order to defuse the strained situation in the region. The author contends that, despite some visible signs of rapprochement it is still hard to expect an optimistic mood for resolving that thorny issue in view of its complicated historical and realistic factors.